At the moment, Afghanistan has neither a present nor a future.
Author: Ahmad Saidi, an analyst on Afghanistan and regional issues (Germany), especially for “Sangar”
Many are asking what path Afghanistan will take after the third meeting in Doha between the “pull and push” policy, between the UN Security Council, the Taliban, and other national and international institutions.
My answer is unequivocal, it will not go anywhere, just as a child’s cradle does not move, moving back and forth, so Afghanistan will remain in place, and this situation will continue.
The third meeting in Doha will take place with or without the presence of the Taliban, but an outcome that can heal the pain of the Afghan people is never in sight.
You know that a large number of elites, politicians, analysts, and intellectuals are asking themselves and others and calling us every day, in what direction is Afghanistan heading, and what the results of the “pull and push” policies of the countries of the world and the region regarding the Taliban Emirate or ISIS caliphate?
In my opinion, the US considers the Taliban to be rogues who did not keep their promise because, according to the provisions of the Doha Agreement, they expected the group to work according to the US plan against the backdrop of the war between Ukraine and Russia. The US expected that both the Taliban and their Pakistani-created collaborator ISIS would gain a foothold on the borders of Central Asian countries and create problems for Iran. But contrary to American expectations, the Taliban are beating the drum of power and talking about engaging with the world. A slogan that the US laughs at because the US wants the Taliban to act as a warring group in the interests of the US so that their weekly dollars become halal, but the Taliban says:
(Munzh nur ghavaro tah pur ghvari - Pashto) - I want you to give me money (loan) again, but you demand your money (loan) back?
It turns out that Russia and Iran, with their “pull and push” policy, are keeping the Taliban where they were and are.
Russian politicians talk about interaction and closeness with the Taliban, while they have not yet removed Taliban leaders from the blacklist, and in addition, Russia's allies and parties to the Collective Security Treaty say that the presence of foreign fighters in Afghanistan is a threat.
First, the Islamic Republic of Iran is busy consolidating its interests in Afghanistan and using Afghanistan as a channel to protect itself from sanctions.
You see, China is the only country that has recognized the Taliban ambassador, and the reason is to give the Afghan mining agreements legitimacy.
China is the only country to officially host a Taliban ambassador and countries that have accepted Taliban diplomats as ambassadors include Qatar, Iran, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, UAE, Malaysia, and Turkmenistan.
Secondly, countries where Afghan diplomats work with the Taliban include Indonesia, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Jordan, India and Kazakhstan.
Third, the countries visited by the Taliban include Sweden, Norway, Belgium, the Netherlands, Germany, Gambia and Tajikistan.
American countries have no official relations with the Taliban.
How to predict the future of Afghans in such a situation? In the center of the home or cradle is a monster, which one person pushes away and the other pulls towards him. Or such interaction with a child.
At the moment, Afghanistan has neither a present nor a future and is going nowhere.