So far, Iran's position only inspires Israel against the backdrop of the angry "philippics" of several Arab clerics.
Author: Dzhambulat Sardalov, an expert on religion and terrorism (Chechnya, Russia), especially for Sangar
After a show of force by the United States - the killing on January 3, 2020, in Baghdad as a result of a targeted airstrike by the Air Force of General Soleimani, commander of the Quds Force and the most effective military figure in the Middle East - Iran responded with threatening attacks against the Americans. Further, the Houthis in Yemen and pro-Iranian forces in Lebanon became active. From time to time, declaring itself with terrorist acts.
Winter 2024... Israel attacked Syria the bases of groups it claimed are associated with Iran, including Hezbollah. Representatives of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) also died: in January, three from the IRGC were already killed in Damascus after an airstrike. The IRGC in Syria and numerous Shiite armed groups carried out various operations to protect Assad's government. By the way, Assad himself belongs to the near-Shiite (religious) group of Alawites, whom, in times of peace, the Shiites of Iran (specifically the dominant current of Shiism - the Imamites) were considered kafirs, but in the face of the Kharijits rebellion - Al-Qaeda, ISIS - united with the Syrian authorities.
At the same time, this minority - Alawites who make up 10% of the total population of the SAR - strengthen control over the Sunnis. They succeeded. Their interests in Syria coincided with Russian ones in terms of suppressing and eliminating the terrorist threat from the same Al-Qaeda and ISIS. Well, this is an easy digression...
Iran, which has powerful historical experience in diplomacy (it was not for nothing that they easily allied with the Crusaders, then with the Mongols in ancient times), still does not always act on its behalf. There are quite a few groups, as I like to say, who confuse the order of Allah with the opinion of their leader and are ready to commit terrorist acts.
April 1 The Israeli Air Force launches a missile attack on Damascus. The Mezze quarter, where Iranian diplomats live, as well as military advisers from the IRGC, come under fire again. Iran is threatening revenge again.
No matter how subtle diplomacy is in the East, powerlessness is not respected there at all. It is a call for even more radical action. The successes of the Shiites in Syria pale against the backdrop of Iran's direct, harsh responses. Another proof of this is the passivity of the Shiite Sheikh of Hezbollah Nasrallah in opposing Israel on the issue of supporting the Palestinians in their fight against the IDF.
The topic of Palestine, in general, has become popular among political demagogues and religious populists in Muslim countries. But not a single step except assurances and a series of humanitarian actions in that ill-fated region. The Houthis, who had been violently attacking civilian targets at sea and on land and previously shouted support for the Palestinians, quickly fell silent. Hezbollah did not dare to act against Israel after the pessimistic speech of its spiritual leader Nasrallah, which strengthened Israel’s confidence in the correctness of their inhumane actions in the Gaza Strip. Thousands and thousands of innocent people were killed... How natural this is for the East, where only power and money matter.
Iran is unlikely to strike Israel, even Israeli embassies and so on. Perhaps, through controlled armed formations, something can happen, and then with wide coverage of the statement about Iran’s non-involvement and so on.
Proxy war, as they say. It’s especially valuable these days: making your policy with someone else’s hands. Moreover, if we take into account the rich and positive experience of survival that Iran has acquired over the years of Western sanctions. He is not ready to lose it for the sake of religious fanaticism; the fervor of the period of romanticism of the Iranian revolution of 1979 has long evaporated: Israel is also not the decrepit power of the Shah...
So far, Iran's position only inspires Israel against the backdrop of the angry "philippics" of several Arab clerics, of course.
