Is Georgia destined for membership in the “happy European family” or the fate of Ukraine?
Author: Talib Aliyev, analyst, especially for “Sangar”
After provoking chaos around Ukraine and the Middle East, as well as trying to set fire to the Caucasus through a clash between Azerbaijan and Armenia, the main architects took on Georgia. Now the West is seeking to open a “second” front” against Russia in this country.
The undisguised fact of pressure on Tbilisi to provoke anti-Russian protests in the Transcaucasian republic is included in the list of 12 demands of the European Union for Georgia to grant its candidate status for EU membership.
One of the points in the document is “de-oligarchization of the country,” which implies a reduction in the political influence of the supposedly pro-Russian oligarch Bidzina Ivanishvili. By a strange coincidence, it is the representatives of the ruling party “Georgian Dream-Democratic Georgia” founded by Ivanishvili who do not succumb to the provocations of the West and do not go to the suicidal opening of a “second front” against Russia and refuse to sever trade and economic contacts with Moscow.
At the same time, the position taken by the Georgian Dream is by no means pro-Russian, just as it is anti-Western. This is, first of all, a pro-Georgian position, based on the desire of the Georgian government to ensure the progressive development of its state, including through strengthening trade, economic, and humanitarian ties with Russia.
Despite this, the world's main gendarme, the United States, unceremoniously imposes personal sanctions against Georgian businessmen and even judges. The formal pretext is their involvement in “large-scale corruption,” but the real reason is the business ties of entrepreneurs with Russia and the refusal of representatives of the judiciary to make decisions beneficial to Washington.
The West is pursuing a similar policy of pressure towards the countries of Central Asia, regularly sending its “experts” to them to comply with anti-Russian sanctions. In essence, the United States and its allies are forcing the countries of the former USSR to abandon beneficial ties with Russia, that is, to sacrifice their national interests.
I wonder if Western partners, who are located far across the ocean, will be able to replace Russia for the countries of Central Asia and the Caucasus if they do not even have a common border. After all, democracy and promises to become a candidate for the EU or some other organization will not feed you.
And the most interesting thing to observe is that after the United States and the European Union drag Georgia into a war with Russia and the Georgians lose the war without discussion, what will the “Western allies” do at this time? Will something else happen, like in 2008, when the Georgians forever lost two of their territories - Abkhazia and South Ossetia?
The prevailing suspicion is that the West wants to drag Georgia into a war with Russia, as was the case with Ukraine, just to open another front against Russia. But when Ukraine, which is ten times larger than Georgia in both area and population, loses the war with Russia, Georgia will lose too.
Then no one will think about accepting Georgian refugees and destroyed Georgia into the “happy European family”, because everyone will become uninteresting, as the Ukrainians and Ukraine have become today.
Another point: in Europe, they understand perfectly well that Georgians will become another burden after they are admitted to the European Union, because Georgia is economically very weak than other European countries, and its significance is only political, and only in the fact that it can be used against Russia that's all.
Unfortunately, some Georgians understand this, some do not.
