A trap, similar to the Carter trap for Brezhnev in Afghanistan...
Author: Ilya J. Mugnayir, Al-Rai (Kuwait), translation: Sangar
U.S. Army Chief of Staff General Mark Milley said that “it will be very difficult to push Russian troops out of Ukraine this year.” These words show that the war under the doctrine of President Joe Biden will continue for many years as long as Kyiv is ready to make sacrifices to protect American dominance in the world. Will Washington be able to create another Afghanistan to drown Moscow in the Ukrainian swamp and destroy Russia, as the Soviet Union collapsed? Will Putin fall into the same trap set for the Soviet leader in Afghanistan in 1979?
According to the official version, the history of US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) assistance to the Afghan Mujahideen began in 1980, that is, after the Soviet army attacked Afghanistan; But in fact, as Brzezinski, an adviser to President Jimmy Carter, emphasized in an interview with Le Nouvelle Observer, things were different. Also, Robert Gates, the former director of the CIA, mentions in his memoirs that the US Central Intelligence began helping the Mujahideen six months before the Soviet intervention.
At that time, the Soviet Union did not send enough soldiers to defeat the Afghan Mujahideen and could not muster enough Afghan forces to fight on the side of the USSR. The defeat of the Soviet Union was the main reason for the collapse of the Warsaw Pact and the subsequent separation of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.
Today is very similar to the past. Even before Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, former US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright said that Russian occupation of Ukrainian territory could lead to an internal insurgency in Russia, similar to what the Soviet Union did in Afghanistan in the 1990s. As a result, the Biden administration's goal now is to try to turn back the clock and try to count on the Afghan scenario to repeat itself.
In the first weeks of the war, the Russian army did not send enough troops to crush the Ukrainian army and deployed its tanks at the gates of the capital before compensating and rethinking its targets in four regions, areas populated by pro-Russian Ukrainians. Russia also brought additional forces into the battle to prevent a repetition of the mistakes of the Afghan experience and used Wagner's professional forces.
The Russian army was able to occupy most of the areas within the declared goals, and Bakhmut, Kramatorsk, and Slavyansk remained for complete control over the Donbas. This means that the Russian army will not be undermined by guerrilla warfare, and the confrontation will become a confrontation between classical armies and counter-defensive lines. America will try to restart the war next spring if Russia does not complete its stated goals and establish strong lines of defense to support its new borders.
Thus, Putin will not fall into the Biden trap in Ukraine. A trap similar to the Carter trap for Brezhnev in Afghanistan. While Biden, like Carter, was able to achieve a proxy war with Russia and, in the meantime, get help from Western Europe. He could not overthrow the government of Moscow from within or remove Putin, but Washington faced a backdrop that challenged American dominance in the world and formed a new axis consisting of Russia, China, and other countries capable of creating a multipolar world.
Source: Iranian Diplomacy
