How the U.S. Scenario for Crushing Iran Failed
Author: Ali Alizod, political commentator, eurasiatoday.ru
Attempts to destabilize the situation inside Iran, combined with military pressure and a sudden attack, were supposed—according to the calculations of Washington and its allies—to lead to a rapid change of power in Tehran. However, events proved the opposite: instead of division and capitulation, Iranian society united, and the plan for a “quick victory” turned out to be untenable.
The ease with which the Americans, with the help of Maduro’s corrupt entourage, managed to kidnap the president of Venezuela created a dangerous illusion of omnipotence for them. It seemed to them that nothing was impossible anymore—not even the most difficult tasks.
It was with this illusion that they began considering how to repeat a similar scenario against Iran.
Of course, they understood perfectly well that Iran is far from Venezuela. It is a state with a millennia-long history, strong statehood, and a people who for centuries have been accustomed to defending their independence. But arrogance and self-confidence prevailed. In Washington they decided that there would be no particular difficulties in attempting to change power in Iran—something they have been dreaming about for nearly half a century.
To begin with, American and Israeli intelligence services, after spending enormous resources and tens of millions of dollars, attempted at the end of December and the beginning of January to destabilize the situation inside the country. Mass riots were organized in several Iranian cities.
However, from the very beginning, it was obvious that these “protests” were not a spontaneous expression of the people’s will but a carefully planned operation. People who had supposedly taken to the streets to fight for “freedom” somehow began smashing shops, banks, and mosques, burning sacred copies of the Quran, and shooting to kill at law-enforcement officers.
These were not protests. This was a real hybrid war. But the calculation did not work.
Despite all the efforts of the American and Israeli intelligence services, this artificially created chaos did not receive support from Iranian society and quickly subsided. Then another scenario was put into motion—the scenario of intimidation.
The Persian Gulf has long been turned into a huge U.S. military base. But even that proved insufficient. Additional forces began to be transferred to the region: ships, aircraft, air-defense systems, and thousands of servicemen. In effect, a significant portion of American military power was concentrated there.
At the same time, threats were heard in every interview and every speech. But it seems that American “experts” on Iran forgot one simple thing: the Iranian people cannot be intimidated.
Throughout its many-thousand-year history, this nation has faced far more terrifying threats. And each time it proved that independence for it is not an empty word.
Iranians may argue among themselves. They may criticize their authorities. But in the face of an external threat, they always become one united people. And this is something that Washington apparently never understood.
After demonstrating force, the Americans proposed negotiations. Iran understood perfectly well that these talks were largely formal—meant for appearances, to create a diplomatic façade. Nevertheless, the Iranian leadership agreed to them.
Because even the most difficult negotiations are better than war, Oman acted as a mediator. The talks were underway. Peace still had a chance. And it was precisely at that moment that something happened which finally dispelled all illusions.
At the very height of the negotiation process, American-Israeli forces treacherously attacked Iran. Without a declaration of war. Without any lawful reason. In the grossest violation of all norms of international law.
The calculation was simple. Their “experts” convinced Donald Trump and his entourage that a sudden strike could break Iran’s resistance within just a few days.
And if they managed to eliminate the Rahbar and several key figures in the country’s leadership, the state would collapse by itself. The war would end almost as soon as it began. Iran would lie at their feet.
The attack was indeed sudden. Ali Khamenei was treacherously killed, and several prominent members of his circle also died. But after that, everything went completely differently from what had been calculated in the Pentagon's offices. Not a single one of their cunning plans worked.
On the contrary, the killing of the Rahbar, the strikes on cities, and the tragedy involving schoolgirls only united Iranian society. The country did not collapse. It mobilized.
Iran began to respond. Harshly. Precisely. With dignity. The people, whose division American strategists had counted on so heavily, not only failed to split—they became even more united. Attempts to draw representatives of national minorities, including the Kurds, to the side of the aggressors also failed completely. All of them remained loyal to their country.
When it became clear that the “quick victory” scenario had collapsed, Washington urgently began searching for allies. The very “masters of the world,” who were accustomed to dictating terms to others, suddenly found themselves asking for help. In particular, from the Iraqi Kurds. According to available information, Donald Trump personally called Kurdish leaders, trying to persuade them to enter the war against Iran.
But the Kurds, remembering well their past experience with the Americans, politely refused. It was also impossible to drag Turkey and Azerbaijan into the conflict. Attempts to provoke them ended in failure as well.
The pressure was then shifted to the Arab monarchies of the Persian Gulf—the very countries that for decades have paid the United States billions of dollars for “security guarantees.” The same countries that host dozens of American bases.
But today, instead of the promised protection, they are being asked for one thing only—to enter the war against Iran. Twelve days have already passed since the beginning of the American-Zionist aggression.
The outcome has turned out to be completely different from what its organizers expected. There has been no capitulation of Iran. No change of power. No destruction of its peaceful nuclear program.
Nor has its missile potential been eliminated. The only thing the aggressors have managed to achieve is the death of more than one and a half thousand civilians, including hundreds of children.
Schools, hospitals, factories, and plants that have nothing to do with military infrastructure have been destroyed. Strikes on oil and gas facilities have led to serious environmental consequences for residents of major cities.
In fact, what we are witnessing already amounts to environmental terrorism. What is happening today can hardly be called anything other than barbarism—barbarism that has nothing to do with the interests of the American people.
All these wars, all these enormous expenses, all these sacrifices—are being made for geopolitical ambitions and the interests of another state. But in one respect, the aggressors miscalculated. Iran turned out not to be the kind of country that an external blow could break.
Iran has proven that it is capable not only of defending itself, but also of delivering painful strikes to those who are accustomed to considering themselves untouchable. Iran has proven that a people who have defended their land for thousands of years cannot be brought to their knees.
Iran was.
Iran is.
Iran will be.
