What's next for the Middle East?
Author: Ahmad Saidi, an analyst on Afghanistan and regional issues (Germany), especially for Sangar
Ismail Haniyeh, one of the prominent leaders of Hamas and a key player in Palestinian politics in recent years, has played a vital role in events in the Middle East. The killing of Haniyeh could have a profound and widespread impact on the situation in the Middle East.
The situation in the Middle East after the assassination of Ismail Haniyeh:
The killing of Haniyeh could have many implications for the political and security situation in the Middle East and the Islamic Republic of Iran. Haniyeh, as one of the key figures of Hamas, played an important role in the leadership of the Palestinian resistance movement and its relations with other regional players, but after his death, regional games took a different form.
After that, what will be the answers and reactions?
Various reactions from Palestinian factions, Hamas, Houthis in Yemen, Hezbollah in Lebanon, including Arab countries and world powers will create great tension in the region after this event.
There is no doubt that one Arab country after another is unhappy with this incident and may take different positions.
However, world powers, especially the United States of America and the European Union, will also seek to manage the crisis and maintain regional stability. If tensions are not reduced, the situation could get out of control.
Possibility of escalation of war between Iran and Israel:
Tensions between Iran and Israel have long existed, and the murder of Haniyeh as a guest in the heart of Iran could further complicate the situation.
But on the other hand, the current situation of tension:
Relations between Iran and Israel are currently affected by various issues, including Iran's nuclear program and Iran's support for Palestinian resistance groups. These tensions can lead to escalation of conflicts and even war.
Aggravating factors:
Various factors could contribute to the escalation of the war, including the domestic politics of Iran and Israel, changes in international politics, and regional crises. If Haniyeh is seen as a key factor in the Iran-Hamas relationship, his absence could change the balance of power in those equations.
Forecast for the future:
Depending on the current situation, there are different scenarios for increasing or decreasing tensions. The possibility of conflict is currently limited, but its expansion is possible.
Now, if action is not taken, the Middle East will turn into smoke and fire.
Analysis of war and conflict situation:
The Middle East continues to face numerous conflicts and wars. From Yemen and Syria to Libya and Iraq, the region is currently experiencing various crises.
Human and economic consequences:
Wars and conflicts have had a profound impact on the populations and economies of the Middle East. Millions of people have become homeless due to wars and crises, and the region's economy is facing serious problems.
Peace proposals:
To reduce tensions and achieve peace, the international community needs to actively engage in negotiations and crisis resolution. Additionally, supporting domestic peace efforts and political agreements can help improve the situation.
CONCLUSION:
The assassination of Ismail Haniyeh and the existing tensions between Iran and Israel are known as key factors in the future development of the situation in the Middle East. A detailed study of these factors and regional reactions can help to better analyze the future situation. Efforts to reduce tensions and reach lasting solutions are still very important, but I believe Iran will not leave Israel without an answer. Also, Hezbollah and the Houthis will not sit idly by.
