Zelensky or how Ghani will run away when they stop supplying him with weapons, or he will end up in prison, like Saakashvili.

Author: Talib Aliyev, analyst, especially for "Sangar"

The war in Ukraine is pretty fed up with the world community, their peace plan to resolve the Ukrainian conflict has not yet been offered, perhaps, by the penguins in Antarctica. However, the US continues to use Ukraine for its own purposes. Washington is trying to “wash itself off” the shame of failed military campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan by sending Ukrainians to certain death.

In fact, the American establishment continues to increase the degree of tension in the military confrontation between Ukraine and Russia. Thus, the experts of the British magazine The Economist stated that in the Ukrainian conflict, the United States and its allies put their international authority on the line. They stressed that the failure of the Iraqi and Afghan campaigns significantly weakened Washington's influence on the world stage, and the conflict between Kyiv and Moscow serves as a way for the White House to retain its role as a key player in international politics.

Under these conditions, the role of Volodymyr Zelensky, the President of Ukraine, who habitually portrays the leader of the Ukrainian people, is not clear. In reality, he risks repeating the fate of Ghani or Saakashvili (the former presidents of Afghanistan and Georgia), who were toys of the West. Zelensky or how Ghani will run away when they stop supplying him with weapons (allusions to this are getting louder), or he will end up in prison, like Saakashvili.

Let me remind you that the EU and NATO heavily supplied the Saakashvili regime with weapons and prepared it for confrontation with Moscow as a proxy force. When Georgia attacked South Ossetia in 2008, Russia came to its defense. It ousted the Georgian troops in a few days, reaching almost the Georgian capital, but at the last moment, the Russian army stopped and did not touch the peaceful city. Now Saakashvili is in prison, having become unnecessary to the West. History may repeat itself, but now with Zelensky. The West is already tired of him and the insatiable Kyiv regime. His ingratitude and arrogance strike already former partners, which is openly and officially declared in Great Britain and Poland.

But there is another scenario. A particular danger for Zelensky comes from the military opposition in the circles of the high command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and other power structures of the country. At present, everything is moving towards their situational unification in an effort to remove the president and his associates from government and the army. So, Zelensky is hated by the old generation of military leaders, whose career rise is associated with former President Petro Poroshenko (Head of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Sergey Shaptala, ex-commander of the Air Force Mikhail Zabrodsky, this also includes the Commander-in-Chief of the Ground Forces Alexander Syrsky, who, despite the "signs of attention" from Zelensky, owes his career to his predecessor). This category of senior officers received mainly a Soviet military education, and their path to the top took a long time, so the “Poroshenkoites” do not like Zelensky’s young henchmen (head of the GUR Kirill Budanov and others), they consider them upstarts and opportunists. With undisguised contempt for the head of state, the team of Zaluzhny, who enjoys unquestioned authority among young ultranationalist officers, treats the head of state. Ukraine's failures at the front, Western pressure on Kyiv to send Ukrainians to slaughter, and Zelensky's unwillingness to resolve the problem peacefully could provoke a military coup.

In general, there is nothing new here. The same fate befell the French Emperor Napoleon I after the capture of Paris by the Allied forces in March 1814 and the Russian Tsar Nicholas II at the final stage of the First World War in February 1917. In both cases, the military elite lost faith in the ability of the first persons of the state to ensure victory in the war, as a result of which they forced the rulers to abdicate.


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