What goals did the US pursue in the geopolitical game in Afghanistan?
Author: Abdul Naser Noorzad, security and geopolitics researcher
The most important consequence of America's presence and withdrawal from Afghanistan is the security of the political process in the region. What is going on around Afghanistan, the origin of which is the post-American situation in Afghanistan, is a special change in political dynamics and its change to a military nature. Today, issues of democracy, civil liberties, etc. are not discussed at the regional level. What has engulfed the entire region is fragile security, the roots of which go back to Afghanistan.
Terrorism and drug trafficking have even brought the factor of separatism under the spotlight. This factor has caused the whole region to benefit more from the logic of military security, and this is exactly what America wanted. In addition, the growing tension in the security environment of the region, apart from the issues of terrorism and drug trafficking, separatism and the opportunities that the hegemony of the United States has created during the decade, is an element of the security puzzle that has formed between many players in the region. Is.
Although the security puzzle between China, Russia and Iran is apparently not visible, it will have a negative impact on the process of convergence and strategic and structural alliance (Shanghai Treaty). For example, the efforts of all three countries, China, Russia, and Iran, to create ways to interact with the Taliban, as a security puzzle, cause suspicion and create a skeptical mentality in security relations and convergence in security trends at the regional level among actors.
Another goal is to create parallel security structures in the form of non-state actors, transnational militaristic companies and arming the region as a blind spot in security relations at the Asian level. This policy first started in the Middle East with the beginning of the Arab Spring, the fall of anti-American dictatorships and the emergence of ISIS as a large terrorist complex that had a large structure and financial resources and was planning to conquer more geography to involve the entire region of the Middle East to North Africa. It is a security and challenging process that failed due to the serious movements of the Russians, Chinese and Iranians.
Now the same program is about to happen in Central Asia under the new big game with many governmental and non-governmental players. Afghanistan has been chosen as the center of this destructive security development. Despite pursuing separate security, political and economic trends, the Shanghai region has benefited from good alliance and meaningful convergence in this regard. The positive message in this regard is that there is almost a kind of security and political consensus regarding regional issues among the member countries.
The common understanding, parallel and symmetrical mentality among the powerful members of Shanghai has caused two opposite security trends at the regional level to be at the same intersection: the first trend is led and supported by the United States, Britain and its western allies, and the opposite trend Securitization is ongoing and security disruption is established. The second process is actually the reaction that the countries of the region and mainly the members of Shanghai have taken in order to deal with the threats arising from the movements and organizations of America from the context of Afghanistan.
What is about to happen?
It seems that after two years of the apparent absence of America, the region has sunk into a hole of security and anarchy geopolitics. The structural presence of non-state actors and security disruptors such as the Taliban as a regime that provides the basis for the growing trend of state terrorism, the targeted organization of mafia groups that benefit greatly from extortion, cyber terrorism, drug trafficking, extremism and poverty. They are moving in line with the rebalancing strategy to produce abundant power sources for America and to advance this game for the benefit of this country.
Terrorism has always been considered as the biggest tool in the service of the development goals of powerful countries. The state terrorism that prevails in Afghanistan has been able to pose a regular form of security threats to the surrounding countries. In addition, the border conflict of the Taliban group as a terrorist state, with Iran, Turkmenistan, Pakistan (in an apparent form), the implementation of warlike policies aimed at directing terrorist groups and helping to create the capabilities of these groups in order to disturb the security of Asia. Central, the obvious factors of the formation of a security trend, which was the foundation of America. If America's twenty years of presence in Afghanistan has armed the entire region and created powerful terrorist structures for future purposes.
What is evident is that America and its allies avoid direct conflict with China, Russia, Iran and other hostile states due to the decline of their capabilities, the existence of limitations in resources, strategic and nuclear balance, and the doctrine of deterrence through nuclear weapons. They avoid economic integration and the need for economic trade to turn the global economy around. Instead, proxy solutions are used, supporting the growing trend of terrorism in the region with its dormant capacities, creating security disturbances and disrupting the security order at the regional level.
This process has a starting point that has led to the strengthening of these groups. Now, with the growth of this trend, we are on an upward path towards securing American interests through terrorism. The peak of this process with conflict and mutual conflict and the use of possible solutions by the Shanghai Block will be a turning point in the history of the confrontation between the West and the East. Although today's literature does not know East and West, but more according to the theory of power transfer, Asia and America-Europe can be described by this polarization with meaningful alliances.
