This time, the USA, Russia, and China (instead of Britain) will sit at the big table.
Author: Fayaz Bahraman Najimi, Regional and International Affairs Analyst, Sangar Advisory Board Member
What's going on in the world?
A brief explanation.
I'm going back a bit.
- The US withdrawal from the so-called Afghanistan was the beginning of the end of the theory of neoliberalism and the model of liberal democracy. Neoliberalism is an economic and political system based on global financial capital that developed after the collapse of the Soviet Union.
The beginning of the power of global financial capital dates back to the 1930s, which expanded unprecedentedly after the victory in World War II thanks to the creation of the Bretton Woods monetary management system by the United States of America. This system peaked during the Ronald Reagan era, known as Reaganomics or Reagan economics, and lasted until Donald Trump's first victory.
- Donald Trump, like Elon Musk and others, comes from the field of oligarchic capital, but he has shown that he is a supporter of industrial capital; After one term, he was excluded from re-election as a result of the revenge of global financial capital.
- Other representatives of industrial capital at the global level are China, India, Russia, Brazil, South Africa, and the BRICS countries, which are more interested in their independent economic growth in cooperation with economic powers.
- Now global financial capital, concentrated in the "London City" and collusion with the British government and its global allies, is trying to continue its dominance through various political, intelligence, cultural, and even religious tools.
The world is witnessing a great transformation in both geopolitics and geoeconomics!
The war in Ukraine is the beginning of a fierce competition between two groups of global capital, which has spread to the Middle East and will continue in the future to the Caucasus, South Asia, and Central Asia. What we will witness in just 80 years is an undeclared global agreement to end the political order and map formed based on the Yalta Conference in February 1945.
At that time, US President Franklin Roosevelt trusted Joseph Stalin more than Winston Churchill, and in an unwritten agreement, they tried to draw a map of the world based on defining the borders of Europe and the beginning of the end of the British Empire. Today we are seeing a return to this situation - but now Donald Trump, Xi Jinping, and Vladimir Putin will be sitting at the table.
Trump's "conservative revolution" dates back to the 1940s and 1950s, when the US itself became a great superpower and tried to change the geography of countries such as the Korean Peninsula, then the Indian subcontinent, or Vietnam.
Today, Donald Trump wants to change the world map, proposing the theory of Canada joining the US as the 51st state, or the cancellation of the Jimmy Carter agreement on the Panama Canal, or the purchase of Greenland and even Iceland. Vladimir Putin began this work in 2008, and we see its continuation in the war in Ukraine.
Turkey and the UK have taken similar actions in Syria, but Turkey is not a country capable of maintaining control for a long time. On the one hand, although Tayyep Erdogan is thinking about returning to the Ottoman era's geopolitics, on the other hand, he is also tracking the geopolitics of the Turkic-speaking countries. However, Turkey, with its bankrupt economy and numerous ethnic divisions, including ethnic vulnerability, cannot achieve the goal it has set for itself with the help of the UK and global capital.
The game started by Turkey, like Pakistan, will backfire on itself, which may threaten its territorial integrity in the next few years. Turkey's false victory in Syria will cause an earthquake in the region that will change the political map of vast regions, including Turkey.
The waves of this development may reach the territory called Afghanistan. Although the possibility of a large Afghan state is not far from reality, Iran will be forced to return to itself with the support of its two allies, namely China and Russia, instead of playing the wrong game and on the wrong field, that is, the Arab field. It must stand as a great barrier against the Turks, Afghans, and Arabs to protect its civilization. There is a lot in common between the two great world powers, China and Russia, and Iran, which are rooted in history.
The world is changing, and we see the collapse of liberal values after half a century.
